Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Price Trends, Forecast, Chart, Prices and Index | Q2 2026

The Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Price Trend moved upward across all monitored markets during Q2 2026. The main reasons were tighter regional supply and strong biodiesel demand, which supported CPO values in major producing markets such as Malaysia and Indonesia. Import markets saw additional pressure because higher freight costs, linked to shipping disruptions in the Middle East, added to the increase in origin prices.

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Crude Palm Oil Market Overview in Q2 2026

Q2 2026 was a firm period for the crude palm oil market. Unlike a market where supply is easily available and buyers can wait for lower prices, the CPO market faced tighter regional availability. At the same time, biodiesel demand remained strong.

This combination created a supportive environment for prices. When supply becomes tighter while demand remains steady or increases, buyers generally have less room to negotiate lower prices. This was reflected in the upward movement of CPO values during the quarter.

Malaysia and Indonesia, two important producing markets, recorded solid gains at the export level. Import markets then reflected these higher origin costs. In several locations, freight costs added another layer of pressure.

The Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Prices therefore increased across the monitored markets during the quarter.

However, the market did not continue moving upward without interruption. June 2026 brought a correction across all monitored markets as buyers moderated their procurement after the earlier price increase. This suggests that buyers became more cautious once prices had reached elevated levels.

Malaysia Crude Palm Oil Price Trend

Malaysia remained an important reference point for the Q2 2026 CPO market.

The Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Price Trend in Malaysia increased by around 8% during Q2 2026. Tighter regional supply and firm biodiesel demand supported CPO values at the producing origin. FOB Port Kelang export valuations increased steadily during the quarter.

Demand from edible oil and oleochemical buyers also helped keep the market firm. When these buyers continue purchasing consistently, it provides support to the market even when prices are already elevated.

In June, however, the Malaysian market corrected by around 2%. Buyers moderated their procurement during the month, reducing some of the upward pressure.

The movement in Malaysia is important because changes in FOB export prices can influence the cost paid by buyers in international import markets.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Price Trend

Indonesia also experienced a strong quarter.

The Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Price Trend in Indonesia increased by approximately 7% in Q2 2026. Tight regional supply and firm biodiesel demand supported prices at the producing origin. FOB Jakarta export valuations moved higher through the quarter.

Edible oil and oleochemical demand provided additional support. These industries depend on palm oil as an important raw material, so steady buying activity can influence market sentiment.

As in Malaysia, the Indonesian market corrected in June. Prices fell by around 2% as buyers moderated procurement after the earlier run-up.

The Indonesian movement shows that the market remained fundamentally supported during Q2, even though buyers became more careful toward the end of the quarter.

USA Crude Palm Oil Prices

The United States recorded an increase of around 8% in CPO import prices during Q2 2026.

The rise was not only connected to higher Malaysian FOB prices. Freight charges on the route also increased sharply, adding further pressure to CIF Houston import valuations.

This is an important point for importers. The price of a commodity at the producing country is only one part of the final landed cost. Freight can significantly influence what buyers eventually pay.

Demand from edible oil and biodiesel buyers remained steady, helping keep the market elevated.

In June, US CPO prices corrected by approximately 2% as buyers reduced or moderated procurement activity.

For importers, this combination of origin pricing, freight, and demand is important when planning purchases and managing raw-material budgets.

China Crude Palm Oil Price Trend

China's CPO import market also followed the broader upward movement.

The Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Price Trend in China increased by around 8% during Q2 2026. Higher Malaysian FOB prices were passed through to CIF Shanghai valuations, while increased freight costs added to the pressure.

The market remained supported by demand from edible oil and oleochemical buyers. As buyers continued to require material, the higher supply and logistics costs were reflected in import prices.

June brought a correction of approximately 3%. This was slightly larger than the corrections recorded in Malaysia and Indonesia, suggesting that buying behavior became more cautious as prices moved higher.

For businesses purchasing palm oil internationally, following both FOB and CIF movements can provide a better understanding of actual procurement conditions.

Japan Crude Palm Oil Prices

Japan also recorded an increase of around 8% during Q2 2026.

Firm Malaysian FOB prices were passed into the Japanese import market, while higher freight costs added further pressure to CIF Tokyo pricing.

Steady demand from edible oil and oleochemical buyers supported the market during the quarter. However, once prices reached higher levels, buyers became more selective.

In June, Japanese CPO import prices corrected by around 2%.

This type of movement highlights the importance of procurement timing. A buyer who purchases during a strong upward market can face a different cost position from one who waits for a correction.

UAE Crude Palm Oil Price Trend

The United Arab Emirates recorded the strongest quarterly increase among the monitored markets.

The Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Price Trend in the UAE increased by approximately 13% during Q2 2026. Higher Malaysian FOB prices were passed through to CIF Sharjah valuations, while a sharp increase in freight costs added further pressure.

CIF Sharjah prices climbed toward peak levels during the quarter. Steady demand from edible oil and oleochemical buyers also helped maintain the strong market environment.

Despite the large quarterly increase, June saw a correction of around 1% as buyers moderated procurement.

The UAE example clearly shows how international logistics can amplify an increase that begins at the producing origin.

India Crude Palm Oil Prices

India also recorded a significant increase in CPO import prices.

The Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Price Trend in India rose by around 11% during Q2 2026. Higher Malaysian FOB prices were passed through into CIF Nhava Sheva import valuations. Interestingly, freight charges on this route eased through the quarter, meaning the main upward pressure came from the firming origin price rather than rising freight.

Demand from edible oil and oleochemical buyers remained steady, helping maintain elevated prices.

In June, Indian CPO import prices corrected by around 1% as buyers moderated procurement.

For Indian buyers, this movement is particularly relevant because changes in international palm oil costs can affect purchasing budgets and the economics of downstream edible oil products.

Understanding the Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Price Chart

The Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Price Chart for Q2 2026 would show a clear upward movement across the monitored markets, followed by a correction in June.

At the origin level, Malaysia increased by around 8%, while Indonesia rose by approximately 7%. Import markets generally recorded stronger gains because freight costs added pressure to the underlying FOB increase.

The UAE recorded the largest quarterly gain at around 13%, followed by India at around 11%. The USA, China, and Japan each recorded increases of around 8%.

The chart would therefore highlight an important market pattern: price increases at origin were transmitted into import markets, but the final impact differed depending on freight conditions and local buying activity.

Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Price Index

The Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Price Index remained supported during Q2 2026 by steady demand from several major sectors.

Edible oil buyers continued to provide an important source of demand. Oleochemical buyers also supported the market, while biodiesel demand was a particularly important factor behind the firm CPO values at origin.

The index also reflected tighter regional supply. When supply is less comfortable, buyers may need to compete more actively for available material.

Freight costs created another important layer of pressure in import markets. Shipping disruptions connected to the Middle East contributed to higher freight expenses on some routes, which increased the cost of imported CPO.

Therefore, the CPO price index during this period was not driven by one factor alone. Supply, demand, biodiesel consumption, origin prices, and transportation costs all played a role.

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Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Price Forecast

Looking ahead, the direction of CPO prices will depend on how supply and demand develop.

One important factor is regional palm oil supply. If supply remains tight, prices may continue to receive support. If availability improves, buyers could gain more negotiating power and the market could become less firm.

Biodiesel demand will also remain important. Strong biodiesel consumption can increase demand for palm oil and provide support to CPO values.

Another factor is freight. Importers do not only need to watch the FOB price in Malaysia or Indonesia. They also need to consider shipping costs and the final CIF value at the destination.

The behavior of buyers will also matter. The June 2026 correction across all monitored markets occurred as buyers moderated procurement after the earlier price increase. If buyers continue taking a cautious approach, this could limit further upward movement.

On the other hand, stronger downstream demand could provide fresh support.

Factors to Watch in the CPO Market

Several factors should be followed when analyzing the future Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Prices.

Supply availability: Tighter regional supply can support prices, while improved availability can reduce upward pressure.

Biodiesel demand: Strong biodiesel demand was one of the key factors supporting CPO prices during Q2 2026.

Edible oil demand: Consistent buying from the edible oil sector can help maintain market strength.

Oleochemical demand: Changes in oleochemical purchasing can also influence CPO consumption.

Freight costs: Importers should monitor shipping costs because higher freight can increase the final landed cost even when origin prices remain unchanged.

Buyer procurement behavior: When prices rise quickly, buyers may reduce or delay purchases, potentially creating a correction.

Origin prices: Developments in Malaysia and Indonesia can have a direct influence on international import markets.

The Q2 2026 Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Price Trend was clearly upward across all monitored markets. Tight regional supply and firm biodiesel demand supported prices in Malaysia and Indonesia, while higher freight costs added further pressure to several import markets.

The strongest quarterly increase was recorded in the UAE at approximately 13%, followed by India at around 11%. Malaysia and the USA, China, and Japan recorded gains of around 8%, while Indonesia increased by approximately 7%.

However, June showed that higher prices can lead buyers to become more cautious. Every monitored market experienced a correction during the month as procurement activity moderated.

The Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Prices, Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Price Chart, and Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Price Index together provide a useful view of the market during Q2 2026. The quarter demonstrated how supply, biodiesel demand, downstream consumption, origin pricing, and freight costs can work together to influence the final market price.

For businesses that buy, process, or trade palm oil, watching these factors together can make price planning easier. Rather than focusing only on the current market value, understanding the direction of supply, demand, logistics, and buyer activity can help businesses make more informed procurement decisions.

About Price Watch™

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